ABP News Rajasthan Assembly Election 2018 Exit Poll LIVE UPDATES: Congress to unseat Vasundhara Raje-led BJP govt

ABP News Rajasthan Assembly Election 2018 Exit Polls: Rajasthan seems to going to the Congress, with ABP News exit polls predicting a clear majority to the grand old party over the BJP. The state of Rajasthan voted for 199 seats in the assembly election that took place today, out of which the Congress is getting a total of 101 seats. Followed by BJP with 83 seats and 15 seats will be grabbed by others, as per ABP News exit poll.

ABP News Bureau Last Updated: 07 Dec 2018 08:03 PM
Congress will clutch the giant share of the overall seats in the assembly. The BJP is likely to retain 83 seats of the 199 seats, losing another term in the state. The Indian National Congress is likely to secure 101 seats.






The Congress has emerged as the most preferred party; 41.5% percent have voted for the Congress whereas the incumbent party BJP has secured 40 percent of the votes. On the other hand, BSP has got 4% votes, according to ABP News exit poll.


Pre-poll survey was conducted by Lokniti-CSDS between Nov 26 and Dec 2, 2018 and the exit poll was conducted on Dec 7, 2018. Sample size of Pre Poll was 5027, while it was 2270 for exit poll.
In the Lok Sabha Election, voters of Rajasthan have intended to vote for the BJP and there is a difference of 10% points.



An interesting finding which emerges from the survey is that though people are not ready to give another chance to the BJP government in the state in the present assembly election, but they are ready to give another chance to BJP govt in upcoming Lok Sabha election scheduled in 2019


In the present survey Vasundhara Raje is the most prefered but her peopularity ha come down drastically; Ashok Gehlot is only one percentage point after her.

Not many voters are satisfied with the state govt headed by Vasundhara Raje; on the contrary, voters are much more satisfied with the Central Government run by the NDA.


The campaign led by PM Modi may have had an impact on this swing as seven of ten respondents believed visits in Rajasthan and did rallies close to the day of voting.Narendra Modi is the most prefered leader in Rajasthan, three of four surveyed voters like him, followed by ex-CM Ashok Gehlot, liked by a little more than two thirds of the respondents. Even Sachin Pilot is more likeable than Vasundhara Raje on individual rating.

Congress is leading by a margin of 1.5% points over the BJP. The other parties could play a significant role in the government formation.
There is a tight contest between the Congress amd BJP in Rajasthan election which was seen as an easy victory of the Cong during the pre-poll survey conducted in mid Oct 2018.
West Region seat share: Congress- 19, BJP-22, Others-2
West Region vote percentage: Congress 39.5%, BJP 45%; BSP- 3%; Others- 12.5%


North Region seat share: Congress- 21, BJP-11, Others-7
North Region vote percentage: Congress 39%, BJP 32%; BSP- 8%; Others- 21%
Countdown Begins! Hold your breath, the exit poll results are going to be out now!
Countdown Begins! Hold your breath, the exit poll results are going to be out now!
The Bharatiya Janata Party, which has been in power in Rajasthan since 2013, is fighting anti-incumbency to retain power.

About 4.74 crore people will decide the fate of 2,274 candidates in the fray for the 200-member Assembly.
The results of the assembly elections in Rajasthan and other four states will be declared on 11 December.
ABP News has always brought you accurate and instant updates on every latest momvement of elections in different states. This time too, we are airing our poll of voters and bringing you the EXIT POLL Results with equal accuracy. Track this live blog to know, who will rule the state of Rajasthan. Will it be the Congress or the BJP?
ABP News has always brought you accurate and instant updates on every latest momvement of elections in different states. This time too, we are airing our poll of voters and bringing you the EXIT POLL Results with equal accuracy. Track this live blog to know, who will rule the state of Rajasthan. Will it be the Congress or the BJP?
Before the exit poll results that ABP News will be announcing anytime now, over 72 per cent of the 4.74 crore registered voters had cast their vote by 5 pm in Rajasthan where elections were held Friday for 199 of the 200 assembly seats. Polling was set to end at 5 pm but officials said those already in the queue at the booths by then were being allowed to vote.
72.17 percent voter turnout across Rajasthan till 5 pm. Exit poll predictions for the desert state will be announced shortly.
ABP News Rajasthan Assembly Election 2018 Exit Poll results are expected to be released any moment. Follow this LIVE blog for the latest updates.
ABP News Rajasthan Assembly Election 2018 Exit Poll results are expected to be released any moment. Follow this LIVE blog for the latest updates.
Voting in Rajasthan has ended. Results of exit polls will be released soon. The Election Commission of India (EC) has banned exit polls till 5.30 pm today.

ABP News Lokniti-CSDS Survey was conducted in the five poll-bound state- Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh, Telangana and Mizoram to predict the assembly election results. The first cut of the Rajasthan Assembly Election Exit Poll will be out at 7 pm.
Welcome to the live blog covering the exit polls for the 2018 assembly elections.

In the previous elections in 2013, BJP had coasted to power with 163 seats leaving the Congress a distant second with 21. The Congress then received a drubbing in all the four regions.

In every state election since 1998 Rajasthan has voted out incumbent governments, whether of the Congress or the BJP.
In the previous elections in 2013, BJP had coasted to power with 163 seats leaving the Congress a distant second with 21. The Congress then received a drubbing in all the four regions.

In every state election since 1998 Rajasthan has voted out incumbent governments, whether of the Congress or the BJP.
Earlier, most opinion surveys gave a winning chance to Congress in a state which has alternatingly given a majority to the Congress and BJP over the past two decades.
ABP News, Election Exit Polls LIVE UPDATES: ABP News has always brought you accurate and instant updates on every latest momvement before, during and after the polling in different states. This time too, we will air our poll of voters and bring you the EXIT POLL Results with equal accuracy. Track this live blog to know, who will sit on the ruling throne of the state of Rajasthan. Will it be the Congress or the BJP? Know here.

Rajasthan Election 2018: This is a maiden assembly election for Pilot, a two-time MP who is seen as a chief ministerial possibility if the Congress wins. He has represented Dausa and Ajmer Lok Sabha constituencies in the past.In about 130 constituencies, the contest appears to be mainly between the BJP and the Congress. In the current House, the BJP has 160 seats and the Congress 25.
Rajasthan Election 2018: With a sizeable Muslim population, Tonk, is a keenly-watched contest between Sachin Pilot and BJP candidate and Rajasthan Transport Minister Yoonus Khan, who is the saffron party's only Muslim face in the elections.The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) had initially fielded sitting MLA Ajit Singh Mehta in Tonk. But in a change of strategy, the party dropped him and sent Khan to take on Pilot.
Rajasthan Election 2018: Vasundhara Raje, who is the BJP's chief ministerial candidate, is fighting against veteran BJP leader Jaswant Singh's son Manvendra Singh in Jhalrapatan, the constituency she has represented since 2003.
Manvendra Singh switched to the Congress just before the election, making the fight tougher for Raje this time. She had won 63 per cent of the votes cast in 2013, winning the seat by a margin of 60,896.
Is it Modi vs Vasundhara this time? Will Congress be able to unseat the Vasundhara Raje government and come to power in Rajasthan? Watch out for the indications when exit polls will be aired on ABP News in just few hours.
Voting for 199 seats in the Rajasthan assembly election is underway.Voter turnout recorded till 3 PM in was 59.43%. In the bipolar fight, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is facing a major challenge as the northern state has always voted out the incumbent government for more than two decades. While the Congress is counting on anti-incumbency to win in Rajasthan.
Welcome to the live blog covering the exit polls for the 2018 assembly election in Rajasthan.

बैकग्राउंड

ABP News Rajasthan Assembly Election 2018 Exit Polls: The state of Rajasthan is voting for 200 seats in the assembly election that began at 8 am today. The state assembly is facing a bipolar fight between Congress and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). The exit poll results by ABP News will be out after voting hours today on December 7, which is the last leg of polling in elections to five states also including Madhya Pradesh, Telangana, Chhattisgarh and Mizoram. Meanwhile, voters lined up at 51,687 booths and cast their vote on Friday. Chief Minister Vasundhara Raje, Pradesh Congress Committee chief Sachin Pilot and other leaders were among those who exercised their franchise. Raje voted at a polling booth in her Jhalrapatan constituency in Jhalawar district, while Union Minister Rajyavardhan Singh Rathore and Congress leader Sachin Pilot voted at a polling booth in Jaipur. Raje (Jhalrapatan), Pilot (Tonk), former chief minister Ashok Gehlot (Sardarpura) are among the 2,274 candidates in the fray. Counting of votes will take place on December 11 along with four other states.

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